Noah Snyder on Value Investing in Programmatic Acquirers

July 2, 2025 in Case Studies, Diary, Equities, Featured, Idea Appraisal, Idea Generation, Interviews

We had the pleasure of interviewing Noah Snyder, founder of Snoboll Capital.

Few investors are as intensely focused on the compounding power of disciplined M&A as Noah Snyder. With a background spanning hedge funds, global small-cap investing, and the Columbia Business School Value Investing Program, Snyder has spent over 20,000 hours studying what he calls “programmatic acquirers” — companies that use repeatable, high-ROIC acquisition strategies as a core operating capability.

In this interview, Snyder shares his investment philosophy, why he focuses on overlooked regions like Sweden and the Nordics, and how programmatic acquirers differ from the often-misunderstood “serial acquirer” model. He also introduces lesser-known but high-potential companies such as Bergman & Beving and Chapters Group, and offers reflections on the enduring influence of Warren Buffett, Charlie Munger, and the power of proper capital allocation.

Ezra Crangle, MOI Global: Tell us about your professional background and how the idea to launch Snoboll Capital came about.

Noah Snyder: I’ve been obsessed with the stock market since I was a teenager, and from early in my career, my goal was to build a better mouse trap than what most other investment managers were doing. I started my career on the buyside at a family office just as they opened to outside capital. Then after finishing my MBA at Columbia Business School and partaking in its Value Investing Program, I joined a hedge fund just as it launched so I could gain the experience of building a fund from scratch. This hedge fund went on to be Barron’s Top 100 fund and grew to over US$1 billion in AUM. As the firm’s #2 investment professional, I helped develop and lead its mental-model-based research approach and I was named an Institutional Investor Hedge Fund Rising Star. Yet more than ten years ago a clear pattern emerged: my biggest winners were all “programmatic acquirers” or companies that compound capital by combining organic growth with highly disciplined acquisition playbooks where management had a lot of skin in the game.

This led to many winners like Constellation Software (CSU), TransDigm (TDG) and Danaher (DHR) and I saw how powerful this strategy was mostly in large U.S. listed companies. However, I believed that even higher risk-adjusted returns could be achieved by finding these companies earlier in their lifecycle in more inefficient markets. This inspired me to join a leading international small-cap team at a US$250 billion mutual fund, where I proved that the strategy worked even better outside the U.S., and especially in Sweden. After more than 20,000 hours of studying public programmatic acquirers globally, I became convinced this opportunity was too compelling to pass up and there was no other way to pursue it.

In 2023, I launched Snoboll Capital with a clear vision: to own a concentrated portfolio (~15 longs) of the world’s best programmatic acquirers globally. At Snoboll we apply our Snöboll Roll-Up Framework to find companies with long reinvestment runways, decentralized cultures, and aligned owner-operators who can acquire niche, high-quality businesses at attractive prices. These companies often improve the businesses they buy, enhance margins, accelerate growth, and reinvest the resulting cash flows back into more M&A creating a true “snowball” effect. This approach provides exposure to three engines of value creation: 1) organic growth; 2) acquisitions; and 3) valuation expansion. Since launch, our results have been rewarding, and we believe Snoboll is uniquely positioned to outperform as we’ve developed expertise in a niche part of the market that consistently outperforms.

MOI: There’s often confusion between “programmatic acquirers” and “serial acquirers.” What’s the difference between the two?

Snyder: We make a clear distinction between programmatic and so-called “serial” acquirers. The term “serial” carries negative connotations for good reason. These are companies that simply do many deals. They pursue one-off, haphazard deals, often relying on financial engineering with little discipline, integration, or repeatability. More often than not, they destroy returns on capital. Which is great because it scares many investors away from companies that grow through acquisitions altogether.

However, in contrast, “programmatic acquirers” treat M&A as a core competency. They pursue several small, bite-sized deals each year using repeatable playbooks and robust business systems. The best ones are what we call Advantaged Acquirers, buyers of choice even when they don’t offer the highest price, often because sellers prefer to stay on and keep building their businesses. In turn, their acquisition process is more akin to a high-quality manufacturing operation, with value creation embedded across every phase from deal sourcing to post-close optimization. For us, great capital allocation is the true north, and programmatic M&A is the best expression of it.

Programmatic acquirers are a rare breed of companies that build acquisitions into their DNA. They use disciplined playbooks and scalable business systems to consistently buy and improve companies, often at 5–7x EBITDA, and can sustain 15–20% ROICs. They are relentlessly focused on cash flow, returns on capital, and aligned incentives. As they grow, they become flywheels, spitting off increasing cash that fuels further M&A and they solve the two biggest challenges in compounding: reinvestment rate and reinvestment duration.

We recently partnered with a second-year MBA in Columbia’s Value Investing Program to conduct an Independent Study on the ~250 programmatic acquirers in Snoboll’s universe. The results reinforced what we believed: these companies consistently outperform, especially when identified early. Yet markets struggle to value their long-duration compounding as most growth stocks see fading growth and ROICs overtime. When done well, programmatic acquirers can maintain high ROICs and for long periods. They control their own destiny, are less macro dependent and benefit from a large public/private valuation arbitrage that can be exploited over and over again.

MOI: You describe your approach as “a global investor in great CEOs and acquisition-focused companies.” Could you walk us through your investment philosophy at Snoboll Capital?

Snyder: At Snoboll Capital, our investment strategy is built to create a “Lollapalooza” effect where multiple reinforcing pillars work together to drive outsized returns. We concentrate capital in our highest-conviction ideas rather than hugging benchmarks. We operate with a clear circle of competence: exceptional CEOs and programmatic acquirers. Our process is anchored in codified pattern recognition tools, aka “Frameworks” especially our Snöboll Roll-Up Framework, which allows us to identify high-quality companies early in the value creation journey. On top of this, we emphasize game selection or playing the games/markets that are easiest to win. We gravitate towards smaller companies with less institutional ownership at meaningful inflection points. Our edge is magnified outside of the US, where informational advantages are greater and investor competition is less pronounced.

The fund’s name is in Swedish which reflects our focus and expertise in Sweden, an overlooked market that serves as a hot bed for skilled programmatic acquirers. We complement our longs with shorts focused three specialized frameworks: 1) Competition Shorts; 2. Cyclical/Commodity Peaks; 3) and Spin-off Shorts. Together, our approach combines deep specialization, global breadth, and structural edge. Ultimately, we’re hunting for the next Danaher, Constellation Software, or Roper, elite companies led by exceptional managers that can be worth multiples of their current value and we continue to believe that we are witnessing a once-in-a-decade to find these companies on the cheap outside of the US.

MOI: Constellation Software is one of the best-known examples of a programmatic acquirer. Could you tell us about one or two lesser-known companies that you find particularly interesting?

Snyder: We prefer not to widely publicize our holdings, as Buffett says, “great ideas are both rare and subject to competitive appropriation,” but we’re happy to highlight two under-the-radar programmatic acquirers that embody Snoboll Capital’s strategy.

The first is Bergman & Beving (B&B), a ~US$1 billion market cap Swedish industrial group undergoing a powerful transformation. While it’s been called “the ancestor of stock market rockets” by Dagens Industri due to the massive success of its spin offs, B&B itself had stagnated. That was until 2021. when Magnus Söderlind, former Head of M&A at Lagercrantz, took over as CEO. He’s now executing the exact same playbook that underpinned Lagercrantz’s 2,000%+ return (30%+ CAGR) during his tenure. Since Magnus arrived B&B has been divesting its legacy low-margin distribution businesses and acquiring proprietary product companies with 15%+ EBITDA margins at just 6–7x EV/EBITDA. Despite negative organic growth from portfolio pruning and cyclical headwinds tied to construction end markets, EBITDA is up ~30% over the last two years and gross margins have expanded 700bps+. Moreover, incremental capital has generated ~20% returns, which should continue to bolster its ROIC, and in turn its valuation.

We believe B&B is still deeply misunderstood and undervalued, trading at a ~40% discount to its sister companies. But Söderlind is leveraging business systems like its “Tool Box” and its “Focus Formula,” to drive value creation at its decentralized subsidiaries. Its recent divestment of Skydda (~10% of revenues) removes most of the remaining legacy drag and management now targets ~8 high-margin acquisitions per year. We believe B&B can double EBIT in four years, resulting in much higher than expected earnings. With a robust pipeline, visible catalysts, and a proven operator at the helm, B&B is a quintessential Snoboll Capital investment entering the steep part of its compounding curve.

The second is Chapters Group (CHG GR), a ~US$1.1 billion German-based vertical-market-software (VMS) acquirer. Its quietly becoming one of Europe’s most promising compounders. Originally a defunct healthcare IT firm, it has been transformed under Jan-Hendrik Mohr, a Buffett disciple, and now full-time owner-operator. Its largest investors include Mitch Rales (Danaher’s founder), Sator Grove, MIT, and William Thorndike, an All-Stars team of capital allocators. Since 2019, when Chapters began its programmatic acquisition journey they’ve done ~50 acquisitions and it now generates more than €165 million in run-rate revenues and more than €40 million in EBITDA (~25% margins). However, it still trades in obscurity on the junior exchange in Germany. Mitch Rales has said publicly that he believes Chapters could be a 50–100x return and Rales has also said he thinks that they can build an even better version of Constellation Software, with more organic growth, and he is coaching its CEO Jan Mohr.

Chapters is institutionalizing its business system (“Manuscript Model”) modeled after DBS and building a structure that’s similar to Constellation Software’s platform. What makes Chapters truly special is that they have highly recurring, mission-critical revenue streams with strong pricing power and low capital needs. This means that most of its revenue growth can be converted to cash for deals and macro conditions should have little impact to earnings. Also, ROIC per share is their main KPI which creates a cash flow–obsessed culture. Recent additions like COO Marc Mauer, who led one of CSU’s platforms, further put odds in our favor. This year organic growth is expected to inflect towards mid-teens. Over time, we expect Chapters to scale to 15–20 platforms and for EBITDA margins to reach >35%. Despite its strong recent performance, Chapters is still early in its journey.

Both companies reflect what we specialize in at Snoboll: programmatic acquirers that have compounding flywheels of value creation. In both cases, time is our friend as higher earning power should be rewarded with higher valuations.

MOI: I understand that your investment philosophy has been strongly influenced by Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger. What key lessons have you learned from them, both in investing, business, and life?

Snyder: Snoboll Capital was named after Warren Buffett’s famous metaphor for compounding: “It was like rolling a snowball down a hill, what started as a small handful eventually grew bigger and bigger.” Our mission is to generate wealth that like a Snöboll (“snowball” in Swedish), compounds as it grows.

Berkshire Hathaway may be the best programmatic acquirers of all time. Their influence shows in our preference for decentralized companies with systems that scale, leaders who think like owners, and cultures which ensure a strong focus on returns on capital. But it’s Munger’s thinking which underpins more of Snoboll’s philosophy. His emphasis on simplicity, the power of incentives, and usage of mental models are all key tenets of our strategy. Moreover, we focus on a deceptively simple but powerful idea: programmatic acquirers. As Munger said, “Take a simple idea and take it seriously.” We’ve done exactly that.

MOI: In addition to investing in the United States, you also focus on Sweden, the Nordic markets, the United Kingdom, and Australia. Why did you choose to concentrate on these regions instead of, for example, Asia or continental Europe?

Snyder: We invest in what we deem to be the 10-15 best risk/reward wherever they are in the developed world. While most funds remain U.S. —centric, ~95% of our longs are currently invested internationally, primarily in Sweden, the Nordics, the UK, and Australia. There are markets that have the best performing stocks and long histories of programmatic acquirers which have generated significant alpha. Also, these markets have strong rule-of-law and corporate governance. In these markets we find underfollowed, high-quality small/mid-sized compounders at much lower valuations.

Currently, the valuation gap between U.S. and international equities is near a 50-year high and there is extreme crowding as U.S. equities make up ~70% of global market cap, levels last seen in the late 1960s. This was followed by two decades of U.S. underperformance. While history doesn’t repeat perfectly, this context is helpful. A potential turning point is the end of Europe’s austerity as Germany recently unveiled its €1 trillion “bazooka” and Trump is providing global investors reasons to look elsewhere.

Sweden stands out as it is where we have the most differentiated edge. At one time I was probably the largest US investor in the Swedish stock market. It’s also the market with the highest concentration of programmatic acquirers in the world. Yet many Swedish stocks trade at discounted valuations mainly due to structurally lower levels of liquidity. This illiquidity discount allows Snoboll to buy better quality companies at cheaper valuations, before they are large and liquid enough for larger institutions, like the one we once worked for, can buy the stock.

Over the years, we’ve built deep credibility in Sweden. In Q1 2025, Snoboll Capital was one of the few U.S. funds invited as a Cornerstone investor in Röko Group’s IPO, Sweden’s most anticipated listing in years. Our specialization gives us access that even larger firms can’t replicate. We avoid Southern Europe and emerging markets, where M&A often reflects empire-building, governance is weaker, and few companies have excelled at acquisitions.

MOI: When it comes to companies that grow through acquisitions, the CEO’s leadership is critical. What skills do you believe are essential for a CEO leading this type of company?

Snyder: At Snoboll Capital, we look for a very specific type of CEO. We gravitate towards those who build enduring institutions and strong cultures, not just earnings per share. These CEOs are often operators first, and capital allocators second. They have meaningful amounts invested alongside shareholders and they have a maniacal 24/7 focus on value creation. They’re disciplined, long-term, and rather than simply chasing growth, they obsess over return on capital and cash flows which are the lifeblood of programmatic acquirers.

They institutionalize excellence and focus intensely of employee development, decentralization, and heavily aligned incentives. They build business systems, proprietary playbooks and focus on continuous improvement rather than long term guidance. These companies create loyal, empowered employees, which enables organizations to scale while preserving culture and performance.

Finally, the best ones are humble and honest, rarely flashy or promotional. The best leaders know that culture isn’t just a byproduct. it’s a strategic asset that enables them to generate higher returns. Above all they “get it” and know how to get the Snoboll rolling.

MOI: What advice would you give to our community of investors who are always striving to “be a little wiser every day”?

Snyder: Be a generalist at the start of your career, if possible. Consider each investment part of your continuous improvement. Journal about what you learned from your mistakes. Also, I believe investors should focus WAY more on slugging percentage, not just batting average. Knowing what to own isn’t enough, you need to use position sizing to your advantage. Just like a blackjack player who is counting cards… bet big when you have a great opportunity. Position sizing is the key driver for both returns and risk management in our portfolio. Lastly, stay balanced, you’re never as smart, or as dumb, as you think you are.

printable transcript


The content of this website is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment, or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information set forth on this website. BeyondProxy’s officers, directors, employees, and/or contributing authors may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated herein.

Lyft: Underappreciated Turnaround With Cash Generation and Growth

June 26, 2025 in Audio, Discover Great Ideas Podcast, Equities, Ideas, Member Podcasts, Wide Moat, Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025, Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025 Featured

Eric DeLamarter and Brandon Carnovale of Half Moon Capital presented their investment thesis on Lyft (Nasdaq: LYFT) at Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025.

Thesis summary:

Lyft is gaining market share following the implementation of various initiatives by its newer CEO, David Risher. Over the last year, Lyft has emerged as a price winner with superior ETAs. Risher has led a successful turnaround to stabilize US Mobility and now has the foundation to expand into new services and geographies.

Eric and Brandon expect Lyft will win a Waymo partnership in the nearer term or be acquired by Amazon.

LYFT’s valuation discounts these favorable developments and assumes a significant risk of disintermediation. However, Eric and Brandon see autonomous vehicle companies pursuing a partnership approach, which would be net beneficial to Lyft.

The above events, among other catalysts, should result in upside for the stock.

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About the instructor:

Eric DeLamarter is the PM of New York-based Half Moon Capital–research intensive, fundamental-oriented, long/ short partnership which invests across various sectors and markets with a focus on small-mid cap companies and special situations. Half Moon Capital seeks to differentiate through a deep research process, independence and ability to uncover original investments with a catalyst. Prior to Half Moon Capital, Eric worked in private equity, investment banking and equity research. Eric holds an MBA from Columbia Business School and a BA from the University of Michigan.

The content of this website is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment, or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information set forth on this website. BeyondProxy’s officers, directors, employees, and/or contributing authors may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated herein.

Topgolf Callaway: Two-in-One Value Play With Insider Buying and Catalyst

June 26, 2025 in Audio, Discover Great Ideas Podcast, Equities, Ideas, Member Podcasts, Wide Moat, Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025, Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025 Featured

Arvind Mallik and Jonathon Fite of KMF Investments presented their thesis on Topgolf Callaway Brands (US: MODG) at Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025.

Thesis summary:

Topgolf Callaway is a market leader uniquely positioned within the evolving “Modern Golf” ecosystem. Originally founded in 1982, the company today dominates with top-tier brands across golf equipment (Callaway, Odyssey), apparel (TravisMathew, Jack Wolfskin), and experiential venues (Topgolf). Topgolf, which now accounts for 41% of revenue, offers compelling unit economics, delivering 50-60% cash returns and significant venue growth potential, targeting expansion from approximately 100 venues today to over 200 in the future.

Despite impressive underlying economics, MODG shares recently traded at depressed levels around $8 due to a cyclical downturn affecting consumer discretionary spending, especially impacting same-venue sales at Topgolf. Nevertheless, external rankings continue to highlight Topgolf’s strong competitive positioning, notably in categories like fun, atmosphere, and food & beverage, underscoring its sustainable moat. Additionally, Callaway’s golf equipment segment maintains oligopolistic dominance with a market-leading 35% share, benefiting from scale-driven R&D advantages and strong consumer loyalty.

Accounting complexities tied to Topgolf’s REIT financing have obscured MODG’s financials, making the company appear optically more leveraged than reality suggests. Properly adjusting for these nuances, MODG is valued conservatively at approximately $15 per share based on adjusted free cash flow, while a sum-of-the-parts analysis yields a valuation exceeding $23 per share. Catalysts expected to unlock this value include the planned separation of the Topgolf and Callaway segments, an operational rebound at venues, and moderating macroeconomic headwinds. Recent insider buying further supports confidence in the underlying value, suggesting substantial upside potential from current trading levels.

Access Arvind and Jonathon’s original presentation on Topgolf Callaway (2024).

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About the instructors:

Arvind Mallik is a Managing Partner of KMF Investments, a pure Pay-for-Performance Private Investment Partnership based in Denton, Texas. KMF seeks long-term capital appreciation by investing in companies whose intrinsic value is significantly higher than the market price. Since its founding in 2008, KMF has found opportunities in world dominating franchises, hard assets below replacement costs, businesses at large discounts to liquidation value, and firms with beneficial exposure to rising interest rates. Prior to founding KMF Investments, Mr. Mallik was a Senior Manager in the Strategy practice of Accenture. At Accenture, he helped global companies formulate and execute strategies to enter new markets, develop innovative new services and solutions, and reduce their operating costs to improve shareholder returns. Mr. Mallik obtained a BS in Chemical Engineering and BS in Bioengineering from UC Berkeley, and an MS in Chemical Engineering from MIT. He graduated with highest honors from both institutions.

Jonathon Fite is a Managing Partner of KMF Investments, a pure Pay-for-Performance Private Investment Partnership based in Denton, Texas.KMF seeks long-term capital appreciation by investing in companies whose intrinsic value is significantly higher than the market price. Since its founding in 2008, KMF has found opportunities in world dominating franchises, hard assets below replacement costs, businesses at large discounts to liquidation value, and firms with beneficial exposure to rising interest rates.Prior to founding KMF Investments, Mr. Fite was a Senior Manager in the Strategy practice of Accenture, where he helped companies improve shareholders returns. He is also a Lecturer for the College of Business at the University of North Texas. Mr. Fite graduated with honors from the University of Arkansas with a BS and MS in Industrial Engineering.

The content of this website is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment, or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information set forth on this website. BeyondProxy’s officers, directors, employees, and/or contributing authors may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated herein.

Build-A-Bear: Misunderstood Retailer, Underappreciated Brand Licensor

June 26, 2025 in Audio, Discover Great Ideas Podcast, Equities, Ideas, Member Podcasts, Wide Moat, Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025, Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025 Featured

Jim and Abigail Zimmerman of Lowell Capital Management presented their in-depth investment thesis on Build-A-Bear Workshop (NYSE: BBW) at Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025.

Thesis summary:

Build-A-Bear Workshop is a multi-channel retailer of plush animals and related products operating across the United States, Canada, the U.K., Ireland, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Direct-to-Consumer, Commercial, and International Franchising, with sales through branded stores, e-commerce, and third-party platforms.

BBW has strategically transitioned from a traditional mall-based retailer to a more diversified, capital-light, brand-centric business model focused on direct-to-consumer, digital content, licensing, and media. BBW targets high-growth areas like gifting, entertainment, and lifestyle through partnerships, while exiting underperforming stores and reallocating capital to franchising, collab stores, and branded content.

BBW has several characteristics Jim and Abby like, including (1) a highly resilient business model with deep customer loyalty and a unique experiential retail format that is difficult to replicate, (2) a highly cash-generative business with low capital expenditure needs, (3) a high-ROIC business model supported by asset-light operating structure and disciplined capital allocation, (4) a strong focus on higher value-added experiences and branded offerings with longer-term and “stickier” customer relationships, (5) an attractive valuation trading at about ~7x adjusted EBITDA and a high single-digit free cash flow yield, (6) a high conversion of adjusted EBITDA into cash from operations (7) an end-market that is growing sustainably over the long term, (8) a record of strong organic growth over several years, (9) a disciplined management team focused on driving organic growth through capital-light partnerships, omni-channel initiatives, and digital expansion, and (10) a long-term strategy to grow sales and EBITDA.

Jim and Abby believe BBW can achieve adjusted EBITDA of $100+ million by 2028, and the highly cash-generative business model can trade for 10x adjusted EBITDA with zero net debt for a market cap of about $1 billion. This could drive share repurchases, reducing shares to around 11 million by 2028, with a share price of $90 or higher versus the recent price of about $50 per share. Further, BBW’s strategic brand partnerships, capital-light operating model, and recurring revenue streams could make it an attractive target for a strategic acquirer or financial sponsor.

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About the instructor:

Jim Zimmerman is founder and portfolio manager of Lowell Capital Value Partners, LP, successor fund to Lowell Capital Fund, L.P. Jim managed Lowell Capital Fund L.P. from 2003 to 2015 employing a proprietary strategy laser-focused on smaller and/or misunderstood companies with large, sustainable free cash flow yields and “Ft. Knox” balance sheets. He generated a compound annual return significantly exceeding the HFRI Equity Hedge Index and the S&P 500 Total Return Index over this period, despite holding a significant net cash position (~30%) for most of this period and Lowell Capital Value Partners has achieved similar results with the same strategy since its founding in 2017. Jim has over 25 years of investment banking and investment management experience in a variety of industries and has been involved with several billion dollars of investments. Jim graduated with a BA with high honors in economics from Princeton University in 1980 and an MBA from Stanford Business School in 1984. He worked at Drexel Burnham Lambert, Inc., 1984 to 1990, serving in the Corporate Finance Department and multiple other investment banks from 1990 to 2003.

Abigail Zimmerman works alongside her father at Lowell Capital. Abigail earned her B.A. in Business Administration at Loyola Marymount University in Los Angeles and has worked with Jim for the last several years. She assists in the generation of new ideas, marketing to current and new investors, research of small and medium cap companies, and detailed due diligence on current and potential investments.

The content of this website is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment, or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information set forth on this website. BeyondProxy’s officers, directors, employees, and/or contributing authors may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated herein.

Boeing: Why the Ortberg Era Could Mark a Turning Point

June 24, 2025 in Audio, Discover Great Ideas Podcast, Equities, Ideas, Member Podcasts, Wide Moat, Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025, Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025 Featured

Dave Sather of Sather Financial Group presented his in-depth investment thesis on Boeing (NYSE: BA) at Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025.

Thesis summary:

Boeing presents a classic turnaround opportunity, driven by recent managerial and strategic changes aimed at addressing significant cultural and operational issues stemming from previous leadership. Since 2018, Boeing faced considerable setbacks due to poor decision-making, excessive financial focus, and deteriorating machinist relations, culminating in major losses and substantial cash burn. Notably, Boeing delivered an average of only 370 aircraft annually post-2018, sharply below its peak of 806 deliveries in 2018. This turbulence, combined with struggles in its defense business, led Boeing to accumulate approximately $36 billion in negative free cash flow over the period.

However, Boeing’s core competitive advantages remain robust, reinforced by its entrenched duopoly position with Airbus in commercial aviation. The significant backlog of over 6,000 aircraft, strong switching costs for airlines, regulatory barriers, and massive scale needed for R\&D and manufacturing underscore Boeing’s intact moat. New CEO Kelly Ortberg, appointed in August 2024 with an engineering rather than financial background, marks a deliberate shift towards quality and operational excellence. Boeing is also set to enhance control over its supply chain with the planned acquisition of Spirit AeroSystems in mid-2025.

The path to recovery hinges on Boeing’s ability to incrementally ramp up production—particularly the critical 737 MAX—and stabilize its defense segment by renegotiating challenging contracts and improving execution. Boeing recently traded at approximately $165 per share, reflecting cautious market sentiment given its recent history. Yet, a successful turnaround could lead to a substantial valuation rerating, with potential intrinsic values ranging between $250 (base scenario) and $300 (bull scenario) per share by the early 2030s, supported by normalized free cash flow and profitability metrics.

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About the instructor:

Dave Sather is a CFP and the CEO of Sather Financial Group, a $1.8 billion firm managing individual accounts headquartered in Texas. Dave has degrees in business from Texas Lutheran University and Texas A&M University. Dave serves on the Board of Regents at Texas Lutheran University, chairing the Investment Committee. He developed and teaches the Bulldog Investment Company internship at Texas Lutheran University (www.BulldogInvestmentCo.com). This student managed investment fund has compounded at 15.4% per year over the last 15 years outperforming the S&P 500 by 264 percentage points. Recently, the program was recognized as the top student led business program by the Accreditation Council for Business Schools and Programs, which oversees more than 1,200 programs internationally. Dave also created and runs the Big Dog Endowment program (www.BigDogEndowment.com) , also at TLU, which teaches analytical and business skills for non-profit and philanthropic endeavors.

The content of this website is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment, or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information set forth on this website. BeyondProxy’s officers, directors, employees, and/or contributing authors may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated herein.

Addus HomeCare: Capitalizing on Consolidation in Fragmented Industry

June 24, 2025 in Audio, Discover Great Ideas Podcast, Equities, Ideas, Member Podcasts, Wide Moat, Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025, Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025 Featured

Aman Budhwar of PenderFund Capital Management presented his investment thesis on Addus HomeCare (Nasdaq: ADUS) at Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025.

Thesis summary:

Addus HomeCare is a well-positioned provider of home-based care services, serving approximately 45,600 patients across 23 U.S. states. Founded in 1979 and managed by the current team since 2016, Addus specializes in personal care, hospice, and home health segments. The company benefits from favorable long-term trends, including an aging U.S. population, increasing preference for cost-effective home-based care solutions, and a healthcare landscape shifting towards managed care, which favors larger, experienced providers. With 84% of its revenues from government programs, Addus enjoys a non-discretionary, stable demand profile.

The company’s personal care segment, constituting roughly three-quarters of total revenue and profit, has consistently delivered high-single-digit organic growth, supported by favorable pricing dynamics and margin improvements. Recent acquisitions, including the notable $350 million purchase of Gentiva’s personal care business at 6.5x EV/EBITDA multiple, have further solidified Addus’s market-leading position. While hospice operations experienced temporary disruptions during the COVID-19 pandemic, a recovery is underway, supported by leadership enhancements and increasing integration with the home health segment.

Despite regulatory concerns around Medicaid reimbursements and healthcare policy, Addus faces limited exposure to major risks, as management expects regulatory changes to be either neutral or beneficial. Its geographically diversified footprint further mitigates potential state-level funding risks. Operational efficiency, disciplined capital allocation, and accretive acquisitions underpin its sustainable growth strategy.

From a valuation perspective, Addus recently traded at approximately $115 per share, implying substantial upside to an estimated intrinsic value of $147 per share, based on a discounted cash flow analysis incorporating conservative mid-single-digit growth assumptions and margin expansion driven by operating leverage. With additional potential from prudent acquisitions and its strong defensive earnings profile, Addus represents an appealing investment opportunity with a clear growth runway and manageable risk profile.

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About the instructor:

Aman Budhwar is a Portfolio Manager at PenderFund Capital Management, a firm he joined in February 2022. Aman is passionate about capital markets and has over 25 years of experience in the field of global and emerging market equity research, analysis and stock-picking. Prior to joining Pender, Aman held Senior Equity Analyst positions at leading Canadian fund and asset management firms. Prior to that, he began his career as an Investment Correspondent for India’s leading business daily, where he wrote full-page cover pieces that helped establish a loyal readership. He also worked with a domestic stockbroker in Mumbai before immigrating to Canada in 2001. Throughout his career, Aman has pursued investment opportunities with a long term, differentiated view. He takes a methodical approach to investing and likes to assess both the potential bull and bear cases as well as the probability of each before committing capital to an investment. Over the years, he has developed a process to help identify long term compounders by focusing on key attributes such as a sustainable competitive advantage, high returns on capital, and an attractive free cash flow yield. Aman holds a Bachelor of Commerce from Garhwal University in India and an MBA from the Institute of Management Technology in India. He earned his Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA) designation in 2004. In his free time, he enjoys an active lifestyle, traveling and spending time with his family.

The content of this website is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment, or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information set forth on this website. BeyondProxy’s officers, directors, employees, and/or contributing authors may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated herein.

Allfunds: Durable Growth and Misunderstood Business Model

June 24, 2025 in Audio, Discover Great Ideas Podcast, Equities, Ideas, Member Podcasts, Wide Moat, Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025, Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025 Featured

Julio Utrera of Southeastern Asset Management presented his investment thesis on Allfunds (Netherlands: ALLFG) at Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025.

Thesis summary:

Allfunds is a competitively advantaged, founder-operated leader in the global fund distribution market, presenting a compelling value proposition through its asset-light, high cash flow-generating business model. With approximately €1.5 trillion in assets under administration (AUA), Allfunds commands a leading global position, benefitting significantly from strong network effects, high client stickiness, and substantial brand equity. The company boasts virtually 100% renewal rates from both distributors and fund providers, underscoring the reliability and essential nature of its offering.

Despite its robust fundamentals, Allfunds recently traded at a meaningful discount, primarily due to a shareholder overhang stemming from private equity interests seeking exit opportunities. This has created a temporary mispricing, offering investors an attractive entry point. A clear valuation floor was established by a hostile takeover attempt at €8.75 per share in early 2023, significantly above the current trading levels of around €6 per share.

Financially, Allfunds is projected to generate €647 million in revenue and €420 million EBITDA in 2025, reflecting an EV/EBITDA multiple of 8.8x and a free cash flow yield of approximately 8.1%. Management is highly aligned with minority shareholders, evidenced by consecutive share buybacks initiated since 2023. Given its sustained double-digit value growth and strategic positioning as a misunderstood infrastructure play rather than an asset manager, the stock offers upside potential exceeding 50% from recent trading levels.

While sensitivity to market movements presents some risk, Allfunds continues to diversify its revenue streams, notably through growth in subscription-based and alternative product offerings. Regulatory risks and client concentration concerns are mitigated through proactive contractual strategies, further reinforcing the attractiveness of the investment thesis.

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About the instructor:

Julio Utrera, CFA serves as Senior Analyst at Southeastern Asset Management. He joined Southeastern’s London Office as an Analyst in 2021. He previously held public and private equity investment research roles in T. Rowe Price International Equities and AnaCap Financial Partners. Prior to that, he was an M&A Analyst at J.P. Morgan’s Investment Banking division in London. Mr. Utrera received his bachelor’s degree in Business Administration and Finance from C.U.N.E.F University and a master’s degree in Value Investing from OMMA Business School, as well as holding the CFA Certificate in ESG Investing.

The content of this website is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment, or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information set forth on this website. BeyondProxy’s officers, directors, employees, and/or contributing authors may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated herein.

Duolingo: Owner-Operated, Fast-Growing Gamified Learning Leader

June 24, 2025 in Audio, Discover Great Ideas Podcast, Equities, Ideas, Member Podcasts, Wide Moat, Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025, Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025 Featured

Switzerland-based investor Jens Kruse presented his investment thesis on Duolingo (Nasdaq: DUOL) at Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025.

Thesis summary:

Duolingo is an innovative, mission-driven educational technology company that has transformed language learning through its engaging, gamified app. With the ambitious goal of providing the best education universally accessible, Duolingo has become the most downloaded educational app worldwide, boasting approximately 130 million monthly active users and 10 million subscribers as of early 2025. Co-founded by Luis von Ahn, renowned for inventing Captcha and ReCaptcha, Duolingo leverages its significant user base and high brand recognition to maintain robust growth and competitive positioning.

Financially, Duolingo has shown remarkable growth momentum, with revenues projected to reach approximately \$975 million in 2025, reflecting an annual growth rate of about 31%. The company’s scalable freemium model, with subscriptions driving approximately 76% of revenues, underpins this strong revenue expansion. Duolingo’s high gross margins, consistently around 75%, illustrate its profitability potential, which is complemented by improving operating leverage as it advances toward a long-term EBITDA margin target of 35%.

The company’s growth potential extends well beyond language learning. Plans to expand into broader educational segments, including music, mathematics, computer science, and financial literacy, suggest significant untapped opportunities to monetize its massive and growing user base. This strategic product diversification, along with Duolingo’s robust engagement metrics—28% daily active users as a percentage of monthly users—positions the company strongly to achieve sustained long-term growth.

Despite its strengths, Duolingo faces challenges such as intense competition, potential slowing subscriber growth, regulatory risks around internet usage, and significant investments in AI that could temporarily weigh on profitability. Nonetheless, the company’s visionary leadership, powerful brand, scalable platform, and broad market potential justify its compelling long-term investment thesis, with considerable upside potential suggested by recent valuations targeting significantly higher than the stock’s recently traded range.

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Jens Kruse is Chief Representative based in Zurich, Switzerland. In addition to build relationships for Jifu Investments he is responsible to manage an inhouse global equity portfolio. Prior to joining Jifu Investment Group, he was the Director and Country Head Switzerland within Franklin Templeton for over 10 years. In that capacity, he oversaw the increase of Swiss client assets from USD 4B to 24B at the peak, joining the top ten Swiss investment managers. His team conducted sophisticated, technology driven campaigns, covering all sales channels, including pension funds, private banks, insurance companies, family offices and independent asset managers. Jens was instrumental in executing state-of-the-art sales processes with the team in a pilot project, subsequently followed by all international offices. Jens has 30 years of investment experience, selling financial products to European institutional investors. He lived and worked in the UK, Italy, France, Germany and Switzerland and acquired the local languages. He holds a master’s in political sciences with a focus on macroeconomics from the University of Berne, Switzerland.

The content of this website is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment, or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information set forth on this website. BeyondProxy’s officers, directors, employees, and/or contributing authors may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated herein.

Ryanair: Capital Efficiency, Low-Cost Leadership in European Aviation

June 24, 2025 in Audio, Discover Great Ideas Podcast, Equities, Ideas, Member Podcasts, Wide Moat, Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025, Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025 Featured

Stefan Ćulibrk of Highway One Asset Management presented his investment thesis on Ryanair (Ireland: RYA, US: RYAAY) at Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025.

Thesis summary:

Ryanair stands out as a best-in-class, low-cost airline that has managed exceptional growth and capital efficiency in an industry known for intense capital expenditures and high leverage. Unlike its peers — such as IAG, Lufthansa, and Air France-KLM, which have significantly increased share counts and accumulated substantial debt to finance fleet expansions — Ryanair has uniquely reduced its share count and maintained a net cash position, recently boasting a negative net debt/EBITDA ratio of -0.4x, indicative of its robust balance sheet strength.

Ryanair’s disciplined, low-cost model benefits from a combination of factors, including complete aircraft ownership, efficient operational management, and a relentless focus on cost control driven by its fanatically committed owner-operator culture. This operational model has enabled Ryanair to achieve consistently superior ROCE, outperforming competitors. Furthermore, Ryanair’s ability to sustainably charge higher average fares while maintaining low costs positions the company advantageously amid rising European emissions trading scheme (ETS) costs, which disproportionately affect rivals.

The competitive landscape further amplifies Ryanair’s strategic advantage. With Boeing and Airbus fully booked for the next decade, competitors are constrained from swiftly expanding their fleets. At the same time, competitors like Wizz Air are incrementally shifting away from Europe, reducing direct competitive pressures within Ryanair’s core market. Ryanair is expected to capitalize on this environment, significantly increasing net profit per passenger beyond previous peaks, supported by stable and growing market share in the European airline market.

Despite industry nuisances and macroeconomic risks — including oil price volatility, economic cycles, and environmental regulations — Ryanair’s resilient operating model, strong financial position, and pricing power make it an attractive investment, particularly in a sector otherwise characterized by significant capital intensity and cyclical challenges.

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Stefan Ćulibrk invests on behalf of Highway One Fund in a select group of publicly-listed businesses that either are or have the potential to become world-class. Before starting Highway One, Stefan managed his family’s investments and worked at Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s London office.

The content of this website is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment, or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information set forth on this website. BeyondProxy’s officers, directors, employees, and/or contributing authors may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated herein.

Howden Joinery: Depot Autonomy, Vertical Control Create Durable Moat

June 24, 2025 in Audio, Discover Great Ideas Podcast, Equities, Ideas, Member Podcasts, Wide Moat, Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025, Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025 Featured

Todd Wenning of KNA Capital Management presented his investment thesis on Howden Joinery (UK: HWDN) at Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025.

Thesis summary:

Howden Joinery is an idiosyncratic, best-in-class UK-based supplier of kitchens and joinery with a powerful and defensible economic moat built on a unique, trade-only business model. The company operates in the GBP 11 billion UK kitchen market, focusing exclusively on supporting small, independent builders and installers (“tradespeople”). The core of the investment thesis is that the market underappreciates the strength and resilience of Howdens’ interconnected competitive advantages, which have allowed it to consistently gain market share and generate attractive returns in a cyclical industry. The company’s culture, growth avenues, and shareholder-friendly management team are not fully reflected in its current valuation.

The company’s moat is multi-faceted, stemming from a business model designed to make its trade customers more successful. The cornerstone is a decentralized network of over 870 depots, which are run as independent businesses by empowered local managers. These managers are highly incentivized, earning a share of their depot’s profits, which fosters an entrepreneurial culture and results in extremely low manager turnover. This dense depot network creates powerful network effects and logistical advantages, ensuring product is always in stock and close to job sites. This reliability, combined with services like free kitchen design and short-term credit, creates high switching costs for tradespeople, whose livelihoods depend on the speed and efficiency Howdens provides. These advantages are reinforced by low-cost production, achieved through scale and vertical integration.

Beyond its entrenched UK position, Howdens has multiple levers for long-term growth. The company sees a clear path to expanding its UK depot footprint to approximately 1,000 locations while also updating its existing estate to improve efficiency and customer experience. Growth will also be driven by moving upmarket into higher-priced kitchen ranges and expanding into adjacent product categories, such as the recently launched fitted bedroom line, which leverages the company’s core competency in cabinetry and its existing distribution network. While the international expansion into France has been challenging, it is being reset with a more focused strategy, and the success in Ireland demonstrates the model’s portability. Further European expansion represents a significant long-term optionality that appears to be undervalued by the market.

Led by a thoughtful management team that perpetuates a “founder’s pedigree” and a stakeholder-focused culture, Howdens has demonstrated a commitment to being “worthwhile for all concerned.” This approach supports the anti-fragility of the business. At a recent price of GBP 8.74, the market appears to be overly focused on near-term cyclical headwinds in the UK housing market and the mixed results in France. The valuation fails to fully credit the quality of the core business, its flywheel-like characteristics, and the multiple paths to future value creation. The base case suggests a value of GBP 12 per share, indicating that significant upside exists as the market recognizes the durability and growth potential of this unique enterprise.

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About the instructor:

Todd Wenning is the President and CIO of KNA Capital Management, based in Cincinnati, Ohio. Before founding KNA Capital, Todd spent eight years on the buyside with Ensemble Capital and Johnson Investment Counsel. Prior to that, Todd was a sell-side analyst with Morningstar where he served as the head of the equity stewardship methodology. Earlier in his career, Todd worked for The Motley Fool, SunTrust Asset Management, and Vanguard. Todd is the author of the Flyover Stocks newsletter and is a lecturer at The University of Dayton. He holds a BA in History from Saint Joseph’s University in Philadelphia and the Chartered Financial Analyst designation.


The content of this website is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment, or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information set forth on this website. BeyondProxy’s officers, directors, employees, and/or contributing authors may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated herein.
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