Diego Grove of LRZ Capital presented his investment thesis on LPL Financial (US: LPLA) at Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2025.
Thesis summary:
LPL Financial is the largest independent broker-dealer in the United States, providing essential front-, middle-, and back-office support to approximately 29,500 advisors managing over $1.8 trillion in assets. Formed from the merger of Linsco and Private Ledger in 1989, the company serves the expansive $31 trillion U.S. advisor-mediated marketplace. LPL’s scalable business model, characterized by robust incremental returns, has allowed the company to capture significant market share from competitors, with notable penetration in both independent and institutional channels. The firm recently traded at a market capitalization of approximately $29 billion with net debt of $5 billion.
LPL operates an asset-light model with a favorable financial profile, characterized by EBITDA margins nearing 47%, high 30s return on equity, and incremental ROIC ranging from mid-20s to mid-30s. Revenue growth is underpinned by organic growth of 7%-13%, market-driven returns of 2%-4%, and incremental contributions from strategic M&A or share buybacks. This model has enabled mid-to-high teens EPS CAGR, supported by a historically high retention rate of 98%+. Despite significant past performance — including an eight-fold increase in stock value over the past decade — the company remains poised for growth, especially given its undermonetized gross profit ROA of just 29 basis points.
The strategic leadership of CEO Rich Steinmeier and CFO Matt Audette has substantially transformed LPL’s operations, emphasizing capital efficiency, prudent acquisitions, and operational leverage. Recent strategic acquisitions such as Commonwealth Financial Network and prudent expansions in the enterprise channel underscore management’s disciplined capital allocation framework. These acquisitions not only expand the firm’s asset base but also solidify its competitive advantage through economies of scale, improved compliance capabilities, and enhanced advisor retention.
A critical variant view articulated in the thesis is that LPL Financial’s superior business model and competitive positioning within the advisor-mediated space remain significantly undervalued. Market concerns, primarily revolving around cash sorting and regulatory scrutiny on client cash balances, appear overstated. The management’s proactive measures and strong treasury management capabilities significantly mitigate these risks. Furthermore, LPL’s diversified revenue streams and fee-based advisory services continue to demonstrate resilience, presenting potential valuation upside.
Given its compelling earnings trajectory, prudent management, and robust competitive moat, LPL Financial offers an attractive risk-reward profile. Management’s clearly articulated earnings growth algorithm forecasts EPS growth of 11%-27%, with potential for higher valuation multiples. Conservatively projected, investors may achieve a ~15% IRR over the next five years, assuming reasonable exit multiples. Thus, LPL Financial represents a high-quality, high-convexity investment opportunity benefiting from sustained structural tailwinds in the independent advisor space.
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About the instructor:
Diego Grove is a Partner, CEO, Portfolio Manager and Business Development strategist at LRZ Capital, an investment management firm that deploys thoughtful long-term capital into public and private markets. In the past, Diego led Megeve Investments International and remains a member of Megeve Investments VC and SAA committees. Diego started his career studying Latin American businesses, in both equity and distress credit markets. Prior to rejoining Megeve, Diego worked for Orbis Investment Management, Triarii Capital and Linzor Capital Asset Management. Diego is a former rugby player, soccer coach and restaurateur, and is now an enthusiastic runner, avid travel surfer and podcast nerd. He recently relocated from New York to Miami. Diego received a B.S. from Pontificia Universidad Catolica de Chile an MSc in Finance from the same University and an MBA and a Sustainability Certificate from M.I.T. Sloan School of Management.
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