This article is excerpted from a letter by Luis Sanchez and John Pelly, co-founders and managing partners of Overlook Rock Asset Management, based in New York.
This quarter we would like to highlight an investment we have made in Cerner (NASDAQ: CERN). Luis recently presented Cerner at Wide-Moat Investing Summit 2018, hosted by MOI Global.
Cerner is an investment made in our High Quality Company Strategy. The High Quality Strategy focuses on investing in businesses that can compound their earnings power at an above market rate over an extended time horizon. In this strategy, we are focused on identifying businesses with sustainable competitive advantages and are less sensitive to short-term valuation metrics. Cerner exemplifies these characteristics.
Cerner is a leading healthcare IT business, primarily selling electronic health records software and revenue cycle management software to hospitals. The company’s software is critical infrastructure for hospitals and serves as the basic foundation for a hospital’s IT ecosystem. Cerner is deeply integrated with its customers, creating a very sticky client base with a 99% retention rate.
The company is benefiting from tailwinds that will enable revenue to grow at a high single-digit rate for the next 10 years. Furthermore, Cerner is executing a plan to increase operating margins by 30 to 60 basis points per year. The combination of tailwinds and margin enhancement will enable the company to compound its earnings growth at a double-digit rate for the foreseeable future.
Cerner recently traded at a valuation multiple of roughly 18x cash flow. This valuation is a slight premium to the average market multiple but we believe this is a bargain because Cerner is a high quality business with very strong earnings growth prospects.
Disclaimer: Overlook Rock Asset Management is a registered investment adviser. Information presented is for discussion and educational purposes only and does not intend to make an offer or solicitation for the sale or purchase of any specific securities, investments, or investment strategies. Investments involve risk and, unless otherwise stated, are not guaranteed. Be sure to first consult with a qualified financial adviser and/or tax professional before implementing any strategy discussed herein. The information and statistical data contained herein have been obtained from sources, which we believe to be reliable, but in no way are warranted by us to accuracy or completeness. We do not undertake to advise you as to any change in figures or our views. This is not a solicitation of any order to buy or sell. We, any officer, or any member of their families, may have a position in and may from time to time purchase or sell any of the above mentioned or related securities. Past results are no guarantee of future Results. This report includes candid statements and observations regarding investment strategies, individual securities, and economic and market conditions; however, there is no guarantee that these statements, opinions or forecasts will prove to be correct. These comments may also include the expression of opinions that are speculative in nature and should not be relied on as statements of fact. Overlook Rock Asset Management is committed to communicating with our investment partners as candidly as possible because we believe our investors benefit from understanding our investment philosophy, investment process, stock selection methodology and investor temperament. Our views and opinions include “forward-looking statements” which may or may not be accurate over the long term. You should not place undue reliance on forward-looking statements, which are current as of the date of this report. We disclaim any obligation to update or alter any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. While we believe we have a reasonable basis for our appraisals and we have confidence in our opinions, actual results may differ materially from those we anticipate. The information provided in this material should not be considered a recommendation to buy, sell or hold any particular security.
About The Author: Luis Sanchez
Luis is a Managing Partner at Overlook Rock Asset Management LLC, an investment firm which manages separate accounts for clients. Overlook Rock employs a quantamental investment approach which marries quantitative techniques with value investing principles.
More posts by Luis Sanchez