Matrimony.com: Owner-Operated, Structurally Advantaged Platform

April 14, 2025 in Asia, Asian Investing Summit 2025, Audio, Diary, Discover Great Ideas Podcast, Equities, Ideas, Member Podcasts

Private investor Manivannan Kannan presented his investment thesis on Matrimony.com (India: MATRIMONY) at Asian Investing Summit 2025.

Thesis summary:

Matrimony.com is India’s leading matchmaking platform, operating across over 300 community-based brands and commanding more than 60% market share in the organized sector. Founded in 2000 and led by first-generation entrepreneur Murugavel Janakiraman, the company capitalizes on deeply rooted social dynamics — such as arranged marriages, community-centric preferences, and family involvement — that differentiate Indian matchmaking from global dating platforms. Despite being a digital business, Matrimony.com operates in a structurally fragmented market with significant barriers to scale, making it one of the few players with the network effects, brand trust, and scale to sustain long-term leadership.

The business benefits from strong inherent economics: customers pay upfront, creating negative working capital and high return metrics (ROIC is effectively infinite), while the core service remains immune to cyclicality or macro shocks. As the only profitable player in the sector, the company has maintained stable margins even amid rising advertising costs, which have weighed on short-term profits but support category leadership. With zero debt, a cash-rich balance sheet, and over ₹3 billion in cash reserves — equivalent to more than 60% of annual revenue — Matrimony.com has both resilience and optionality, including the capacity to pursue adjacent categories or return capital through buybacks and dividends.

The company recently traded at a market capitalization of ₹11 billion, backed by an estimated ₹500 million in operating free cash flow and normalized earnings potential closer to ₹1 billion if marketing intensity were dialed back. Given its dominant position in a culturally entrenched and underpenetrated market, this valuation offers compelling downside protection, while the strong competitive moats — from brand trust to liquidity of profiles — support asymmetric upside. Unlike dating apps, where retention is key, matrimonial platforms thrive on transactional scale and reputation, reinforcing first-mover advantage.

Challenges remain, particularly around zero customer retention, shifting cultural preferences, and operational execution. But Matrimony.com has demonstrated staying power, strong governance, and strategic conservatism. With a founder holding 53% of the company and his full personal and professional identity tied to its success, incentives are strongly aligned. This is not a hypergrowth story, but rather a cash-generative, structurally advantaged platform business trading well below intrinsic value.

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About the instructor:

Manivannan Kannan is an engineer and management graduate by educational qualification. He has spent the bulk of his professional career working across early-stage to scaled-up companies in India, Malaysia, and Sri Lanka. His last professional assignment was with Uber. Mani was attracted to long-term investing in good companies after reading Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger in 2019. As the intellectual challenges of investing appealed to Mani, he decided to dedicate himself full-time to investing in 2021. Since then, he has had a highly gratifying experience of investing as a private investor, making mistakes and learning on the way.

Gujarat Ambuja Exports: Maize Processor in Capacity Expansion

April 14, 2025 in Asia, Asian Investing Summit 2025, Audio, Discover Great Ideas Podcast, Equities, Ideas, Member Podcasts

V.P. Rajesh and Saurabh Basrar of Banyan Capital Advisors presented their investment thesis on Gujarat Ambuja Exports Ltd. (India: GAEL) at Asian Investing Summit 2025.

Thesis summary:

Gujarat Ambuja Exports (GAEL) is India’s leading maize processing company and a compelling small-cap story with significant long-term growth visibility and margin expansion potential. As of April 2025, the company recently traded at ₹110 per share, implying a market capitalization of ₹5,045 crore and an enterprise value of ₹4,295 crore, with a net cash position of ₹750 crore. GAEL derives over three-quarters of its revenue and nearly 90% of its EBIT from its maize processing segment, which has grown revenue and EBIT at CAGRs of 20% and 24%, respectively, over the past 15 years. With a dominant market share of over 30%—up from less than 5% in 2009—and a wide geographical footprint, GAEL is poised to remain the country’s maize processor of choice.

The company is currently executing a 50% expansion in maize wet milling capacity from 4,000 to 6,000 TPD by March 2026, along with major investments in higher-margin starch derivatives and India’s first domestic fermented products plant, positioning GAEL for a product mix shift that supports both top-line growth and operating leverage. Management expects over 20% CAGR revenue growth for the next three to five years, supported by rising maize production in India, favorable government policies, and GAEL’s unmatched scale and raw material access. Already a high-ROCE business with 25% returns in its core maize division, GAEL is concentrating future capital deployment in this segment, which now accounts for 78% of the company’s total capital employed.

Despite these strengths, GAEL remains attractively valued relative to peers. At 9.5x EV/EBITDA and 16.3x P/E on a trailing basis, the company trades below comparable players such as Sanstar and Sukhjit Starch, despite superior growth rates, scale, and profitability. Projections under the base case scenario imply revenue of ₹6,000 crore and PAT of ₹563 crore by FY28, translating to a potential upside of 67–100% over the next three years, with a bull case scenario implying up to 200% upside. This valuation also does not fully reflect the optionality from a turnaround in the company’s agro-processing division and potential monetization of renewable energy assets.

Key risks include raw material availability, successful ramp-up of new fermentation capacity, and any recurrence of governance missteps. That said, the company’s balance sheet strength, consistent reinvestment from internal accruals, and history of execution provide a strong margin of safety. For investors looking for a capital-efficient, scalable business with dominant market share in an essential industry, GAEL offers an attractive combination of growth, value, and optionality.

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About the instructor:

V.P. Rajesh has been in the capital markets since 1991, first as an IT consultant (at Citicorp Overseas Software) and then as an Investment Banker for over 10 years specializing in mergers and acquisitions. During his banking career with J.P. Morgan Chase, Deutsche Bank, Piper Jaffray and Thomas Weisel Partners in New York and San Francisco, he focused on technology, media, telecom and healthcare sectors and completed transactions worth over $27 billion. V.P. relocated to India in July 2007 and started re-investing in the Indian stock market from March 2008 onward. He started Banyan Capital Advisors in New Delhi in November 2011 to manage outside capital using investment principles espoused by likes of Graham, Buffett, Munger, Klarman and Lynch. V.P. is an MBA from the University of Michigan’s Ross Business School with a distinction and has a B.E. (Hons.) degree from BITS, Pilani, India.

Saurabh Basrar is a Portfolio Manager at Banyan Capital Advisors. He has fifteen years of experience in portfolio management and equity research. His prior experience includes positions at Fidelity, A.T. Kearney, and Citibank. Saurabh is a rank holder chartered accountant, member of the CFA Institute, and a graduate of Sri Ram College of Commerce. He is also the author of the bestselling book, “Masterclass with Super-Investors”.

The content of this website is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment, or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information set forth on this website. BeyondProxy’s officers, directors, employees, and/or contributing authors may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated herein.

Halyk Bank: Well-Positioned, Growing Leader at Attractive Valuation

April 14, 2025 in Asia, Asian Investing Summit 2025, Audio, Discover Great Ideas Podcast, Equities, Ideas, Member Podcasts

Isaac Schwartz of Robotti & Company discussed his investment thesis on Halyk Savings Bank (Kazakhstan: HSBK) at Asian Investing Summit 2025.

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About the instructor:

Isaac Schwartz is an investor in global and emerging markets with a special focus in financial services, logistics and e-commerce, consumer products, and durable goods. He is a Portfolio Manager at Robotti & Company, an investment adviser managing $1 billion in equity assets. Since 2007, Isaac has managed Robotti Global Fund LLC, which he has run from Singapore, Hong Kong, Istanbul, and now New York. He has invested extensively in Kazakhstan and Indonesia, as well as other CIS and Southeast Asian markets. In 2017, Isaac founded the New Silk Road community of more than a hundred professional investors who meet annually for an investing-ideas summit. Isaac has been a director of Menu Group, an online food delivery company in the UK, and Complete Start, a health food company in the U.S. He earned a B.S. in Economics from the Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania.

The content of this website is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment, or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information set forth on this website. BeyondProxy’s officers, directors, employees, and/or contributing authors may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated herein.

Alphapolis: Manga/Anime Publisher With Unique Business Model

April 10, 2025 in Asia, Asian Investing Summit 2025, Asian Investing Summit 2025 Featured, Audio, Discover Great Ideas Podcast, Equities, Ideas, Member Podcasts

Jiro Yasu, Patrick Rial, and Jeff Musial of Varecs Partners presented their investment thesis on Alphapolis (Japan: 9467) at Asian Investing Summit 2025.

Thesis summary:

Alphapolis is a small-cap Japanese content company operating in the high-growth manga and anime sectors, two of Japan’s most culturally significant and globally expanding creative exports. The company has developed a distinctive content generation model by harnessing a user-generated content (UGC) platform to source successful manga series, which are later published and adapted into anime. This approach produces a hit rate far superior to traditional publishing models and enables Alphapolis to operate with gross margins of 73%, operating margins of 22%, and a return on invested capital of 33%. Over the past five years, Alphapolis has grown revenue and EBIT at CAGRs of 16% and 11%, respectively, with manga sales now accounting for 74% of total revenue, up from just 24% in 2014.

Alphapolis’s growth trajectory is underpinned by two structural tailwinds. First, the global manga and anime markets — estimated at $15 billion and $22 billion, respectively — have been compounding at high-single to double-digit rates, especially overseas, where anime viewership among Gen Z in markets like the U.S. has surged. Second, as Japanese content assets remain scarce and consolidation intensifies, Alphapolis stands out as a rare, undervalued pure-play in the space. With the success of its anime titles such as *Gate* and *Moonlit Fantasy*, the company is scaling production, with five new series in development and early monetization of related IP through licensing and merchandise.

The business model is capital-light and highly scalable. Alphapolis serves as a publisher, producer, and partial investor in anime productions, earning royalties and downstream revenue from streaming rights and merchandise. Its unique UGC-driven content pipeline, which converts digital light novels into manga and then anime, has enabled it to systematically identify hits with significantly reduced risk and cost. The success of this approach has been demonstrated by sales surges following anime releases and a deepening library of monetizable IP. Moreover, digital distribution, now dominant across the manga industry, has dramatically improved profitability and reduced return rates.

Alphapolis recently traded at 19x forward P/E (14x ex-cash) and just 8x EV/EBIT, well below global and domestic peers. A conservative DCF model implies intrinsic value of ¥54 billion versus a recent market cap of ¥37.5 billion, suggesting 44% upside. With scarcity value, global growth drivers, a proven content monetization engine, and optionality in new revenue streams like gaming and licensing, Alphapolis offers an asymmetric opportunity in one of Japan’s most dynamic creative industries.

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About the instructors:

Jiro Yasu has two decades of investment experience in the Japanese equity markets including at Varecs Partners, First Eagle Investment Management and Daiwa Securities America. As the Representative Director of Varecs Partners, Jiro spearheads the investment firm’s efforts to identify mid-sized listed Japanese companies where corporate value can be realized for all stakeholders by working together with management. Jiro holds a BA in economics with a specialty in econometrics from Keio University.

Patrick Rial joined Varecs Partners in 2015 as Senior Analyst. He joined from J.P. Morgan Securities Japan where he worked in equity strategy and small cap research. Prior to J.P. Morgan, he was a product manager at Morgan Stanley MUFG Securities. Mr. Rial began his career as a financial journalist covering Japanese equity markets. He has been a CFA charterholder since 2011. He holds a BA in economics and history from Georgetown University.

Jeff Musial joined Varecs Partners in 2021 as Senior Analyst. He joined from Burgundy Asset Management in Toronto where he was the Vice President of Asian Equities, focused on Japan. Prior to that, he worked in Asian Equities at RBC Global Asset Management in Hong Kong. Mr. Musial has been a CFA charterholder since 2015, and holds an International MBA from the Schulich School of Business in Canada. He also holds a BA in Psychology from the University of Western Ontario, and attended Nanjing University on a 1-year Mandarin studies scholarship.

The content of this website is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment, or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information set forth on this website. BeyondProxy’s officers, directors, employees, and/or contributing authors may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated herein.

UTI: Major Player in Underpenetrated Mutual Fund Market in India

April 10, 2025 in Asia, Asian Investing Summit 2025, Asian Investing Summit 2025 Featured, Audio, Discover Great Ideas Podcast, Equities, Ideas, Member Podcasts

Kimi Venkataraman and Sidd Thomas of India Intrinsic Value Consultants presented their investment thesis on UTI Asset Management Company (India: UTIAMC) at Asian Investing Summit 2025.

Thesis summary:

UTI Asset Management is one of India’s oldest and most respected names in investment management, with roots tracing back to its establishment by an act of Parliament in 1965. Today, the firm remains a top-ten player in the Indian asset management industry, with approximately $23 billion in assets under management and a 5.2% market share. Despite its legacy status and broad distribution footprint — 190 branches covering over 99% of Indian pin codes — UTI remains underappreciated in a market where mutual fund penetration is still in its infancy, with AUM-to-GDP sitting at just 15% compared to 140% in the U.S.

The company has a diversified business across mutual funds, pension mandates, and portfolio management services (PMS), with the latter accounting for 64% of AUM. Mutual fund assets, though smaller in absolute terms, benefit from a retail-heavy and largely direct distribution model, supported by a network of 55,000+ independent financial advisors. The company’s strong institutional backing — from State Bank of India, LIC, and two other public sector banks — gives it credibility and reach, particularly in India’s growing Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities.

UTI shares recently traded at ₹980, a P/E multiple of just 16x FY25 and a return on equity of 20%. In comparison, peers like HDFC AMC and Nippon Life command valuations of 27–32x earnings with ROEs in the 29–34% range. While UTI’s growth has been more modest — 5% annual revenue growth and 15% EPS CAGR over the last five years — the valuation discount appears excessive given the firm’s franchise value, brand recognition, and improving profitability metrics. The structural drivers of long-term AUM growth in India remain firmly in place, with the country still vastly underpenetrated by global standards.

Risks include potential market share erosion to more aggressive private sector competitors and sensitivity to short-term equity market sentiment. Nonetheless, UTI offers a compelling combination of heritage, scalability, and financial discipline, trading at a material discount to peers. With improving margins, strong distribution, and a tailwind from the formalization of savings in India, UTI represents a classic value opportunity in a structurally expanding industry.

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About the instructor:

Krishnaraj (Kimi) Venkataraman serves as a Director of Intrinsic Value Consultants Pte. Ltd., Singapore. He ran multiple investing partnerships in India delivering market beating returns consistently. Kimi started his career with Tata Steel and later Procter & Gamble, turned into an entrepreneur and ran several businesses. The last one, Marketics, was successfully sold to WNS. Kimi has been an investor for more than 30 years. In 2001 he stumbled upon the letters of Warren Buffett and nothing else was needed. Kimi is glad that Mr Buffett does not charge a royalty on returns made from his teachings.

Siddharth (Sidd) Thomas serves as a Partner of India Intrinsic Value Consultants. He founded Beaconsfield Investment Management in 2010. Prior to that he worked as an analyst covering Asian equities at Fairfax Financial Holdings and as an associate analyst at Credit Suisse equity research. Born and raised in Chennai, India, Siddharth completed his bachelor’s of science degree from Purdue University.

The content of this website is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment, or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information set forth on this website. BeyondProxy’s officers, directors, employees, and/or contributing authors may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated herein.

Intelligent Monitoring: Update on Security Monitoring Leader

April 10, 2025 in Asia, Asian Investing Summit 2025, Asian Investing Summit 2025 Featured, Audio, Discover Great Ideas Podcast, Equities, Ideas, Member Podcasts

Peter Kennan of Black Crane Capital presented his investment thesis on Intelligent Monitoring Group (Australia: IMB) at Asian Investing Summit 2025.

Peter presented his original thesis at Asian Investing Summit 2024.

Thesis summary:

Intelligent Monitoring Group (IMG) is a leading Australian security services company that is undergoing a compelling transformation from a legacy alarm monitoring business to a growing, tech-enabled security platform. Historically known for signal-based monitoring, IMG has successfully positioned itself at the forefront of video guarding — a rapidly expanding segment that replaces human guards with AI-driven, remotely monitored video surveillance. The company’s shift in strategy is yielding tangible benefits, with strong tailwinds from commercial growth, margin expansion, and industry adoption of higher-tech solutions.

Video guarding, which is well underway in the U.S. and Europe, is now gaining momentum in Australia, where the addressable market includes over 10 million residential premises and 2.6 million registered businesses. IMG is uniquely positioned to lead this evolution due to its incumbent scale, trusted brand, and differentiated capabilities — including Grade A control rooms, the country’s largest installer network, and reseller partnerships. With minimal capex requirements and substantially higher operating margins than traditional guard-based models, the economics of video guarding are favorable. Management sees a multibillion-dollar opportunity, multiples larger than the current business size.

In addition to organic expansion, IMG continues to pursue value-accretive M&A, consolidating its leadership in the commercial and residential security segments. The company’s role as incumbent and disruptor gives it competitive advantages in acquiring smaller operators and scaling innovative technologies across its platform. Importantly, the downside appears well protected by a stable cash-generative legacy business, which supports reinvestment and provides optionality.

Despite these strengths, IMG recently traded at a low valuation relative to its long-term potential. With a strong balance sheet, growing commercial exposure, and early leadership in an underpenetrated but fast-evolving market, the company offers an asymmetric opportunity for patient investors. While the precise pace of adoption for video guarding remains a near-term unknown, the structural direction of the industry is clear — and IMG is best positioned to capitalize on it.

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About the instructor:

Peter Kennan is the founder of Black Crane Capital a catalyst/activist, deep value investment manager. Black Crane has a strong track record of creating value by actively engaging with under valued listed companies including the successful restructuring turnarounds of Elders, Emeco and MMA Offshore. Prior to founding Black Crane in 2009, Peter was a leading corporate financier with UBS Asia Pacific where he was Head of Asian Industrials Group, a team covering energy, infrastructure, resources, consumer/retail and general industrial companies. Prior to that, Peter was Head of Telecoms and Media for UBS Australia. Before UBS, Peter spent seven years with BP in a variety of engineering and commercial roles.

The content of this website is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment, or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information set forth on this website. BeyondProxy’s officers, directors, employees, and/or contributing authors may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated herein.

Fosun: Global Conglomerate Creating Value Through Deleveraging

April 9, 2025 in Asia, Asian Investing Summit 2025, Asian Investing Summit 2025 Featured, Audio, Diary, Discover Great Ideas Podcast, Equities, Ideas, Member Podcasts

Roshan Padamadan of Luminance Capital presented his investment thesis on Fosun International (HK: 0656 / OTC: FOSUY) at Asian Investing Summit 2025.

Thesis summary:

Fosun International is a sprawling Chinese conglomerate with a globally diversified asset base across healthcare, insurance, consumer products, tourism, and financial services. Following a period of aggressive expansion, Fosun has recently pivoted toward debt reduction — a slow but steady process that is unlocking disproportionate equity value. With over 50% of revenues now generated outside China and holdings in well-known names such as Fidelidade (Portugal), Club Med (France), Cirque du Soleil (Canada), and Gland Pharma (India), Fosun has evolved from a domestic industrial group into a diversified international operator with a unique east-west footprint.

The company recently traded at HKD 4.3 per share, giving it a market cap of HKD 35.2 billion (USD 4.6 billion). Despite having a broad portfolio of operating businesses, the shares were priced at just 0.27x book and 0.18x sales as of early April 2025. While its debt/equity ratio remains high at 1.9x, Fosun has made visible progress on deleveraging, including asset sales of over HKD 30 billion in 2024 alone. Credit markets have responded favorably, with its CDS tightening from 350 bps to near 300 bps over the last two years, and all major rating agencies now maintaining a stable outlook.

Operationally, Fosun remains resilient, with profitability spread across four segments — Health, Happiness, Wealth, and Intelligent Manufacturing — all of which reported profits in 2024. The company is exposed to varying degrees of competition and cyclical risk, particularly in tourism and financial services, but maintains strong geographic diversification, with nearly half of revenues now generated outside China. Despite these assets, market skepticism persists, in part due to the company’s complex structure, its prior ties to China’s property sector, and a modest dividend and buyback program.

Nonetheless, Fosun presents a compelling deep value opportunity for patient investors. With a high-quality global portfolio, tangible progress on debt repayment, and a share price disconnected from intrinsic value, the business offers significant upside potential. As deleveraging continues and market confidence improves, even a partial re-rating to 0.5x book or 0.5x sales could yield material returns. In a market eager for transparency and capital discipline, Fosun’s slow but determined pivot may be precisely the kind of underappreciated transformation that long-term investors should not overlook.

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About the instructor:

Roshan Padamadan is Chairman at Luminance Capital. He is a global investor and splits his time between New York, Singapore and India. Previously, he served as COO, Risk and Compliance officer at Sixteenth Street Capital, based in Singapore. His erstwhile Luminance Global Fund had a global unconstrained investment strategy, looking at special situations and deep value. Prior to launching Luminance in 2013, Roshan also spent more than seven years with the HSBC Group, including more than three years with HSBC Asset Management, as a Product Specialist. He worked for the highly commended Offshore Indian Equity team which ran US$5+ billion from Singapore, including a US$100+ million award-winning India hedge fund. Roshan has earned an MBA in Management from Indian Institute of Management, Ahmedabad. He holds the CFA and CAIA charters and speaks over five languages.

Narayana: Low-Cost Hospital Operator With Improved ROI Focus

April 9, 2025 in Asia, Asian Investing Summit 2025, Asian Investing Summit 2025 Featured, Audio, Discover Great Ideas Podcast, Equities, Ideas, Member Podcasts

Vinod Moras of Kiara Advisors presented his investment thesis on Narayana Hrudayalaya Ltd. (India: NARH) at Asian Investing Summit 2025.

Thesis summary:

Narayana Hrudayalaya is a leading Indian hospital chain founded by the renowned cardiac surgeon Dr. Devi Shetty, with a mission to deliver high-quality healthcare at affordable prices. Since going public in 2016, the company has evolved from a doctor-led institution into a professionally managed, ROI-focused healthcare platform under the leadership of Viren Shetty. With a network of 19 hospitals across India and operations in the Cayman Islands, Narayana has executed a successful transformation by optimizing its asset base, improving clinical efficiency, and expanding EBITDA margins from ~10% to over 22% in just five years.

The company recently traded at ₹1,683 per share, giving it a market capitalization of approximately ₹344 billion ($4 billion), which represents a notable ~27% discount to Indian hospital peers on an EV/EBITDA basis despite stronger operational metrics. Since 2019, Narayana’s revenue has grown 74%, EBITDA has tripled, net income has surged over 500%, and return on equity has expanded fivefold to 31%. This performance has been driven by better occupancy rates, rising average revenue per occupied bed (ARPOB), and increasing insurance penetration. With structural tailwinds in India’s underpenetrated healthcare system and rising middle-class demand, the company is well-positioned for continued profitable growth.

Looking ahead, Narayana is entering an expansion phase with plans to add over 2,000 beds by FY2030, focused on core geographies such as Bangalore and Kolkata. This capital expenditure, totaling INR 29 billion, is expected to be funded entirely through internal accruals. Optionality exists through its successful Cayman Islands operation — which boasts 41% EBITDA margins and a ROCE above 50% — as well as pilot initiatives in integrated health insurance and monetization of its proprietary hospital management software (Athma and Medha). These efforts not only open up new profit pools but also demonstrate the scalability of Narayana’s low-cost, high-quality care model in international and tech-driven settings.

Risks remain, particularly from regulatory pricing caps, wage inflation, and the capital-intensive nature of the hospital business. Moreover, about 30% of EBITDA is derived from a single overseas hospital in the Cayman Islands, introducing some concentration risk. However, with a solid balance sheet, strong management, and multiple growth levers, Narayana offers an attractive blend of proven execution and long-term optionality. As healthcare in India transitions toward organized, insurance-led delivery, Narayana is well-positioned to emerge as a blue-chip compounder in the making.

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About the instructor:

Vinod Moras is a seasoned value investor with over a decade of experience in Asian equities. He is currently an Investment Manager at Highwest Global Management, overseeing the firm’s India portfolio within its Asia-focused, long-only strategy. Previously, he was Head of Investments at Sixteenth Street Capital, leading research and portfolio strategy for South and Southeast Asia. Vinod also held investment roles at KIARA Advisors and APS Asset Management. Vinod brings operational experience to investing, having worked in the automotive and oil & gas industries before transitioning to finance. He has been a member of the Value Investors Club (VIC) and holds an undergraduate degree in engineering and master’s degree in finance from NYU Polytechnic Institute.

The content of this website is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment, or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information set forth on this website. BeyondProxy’s officers, directors, employees, and/or contributing authors may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated herein.

Suryoday: Financially Secure, Deeply Undervalued Small Finance Bank

April 9, 2025 in Asia, Asian Investing Summit 2025, Audio, Discover Great Ideas Podcast, Equities, Ideas, Member Podcasts

Amey Kulkarni of Candor Investing presented his investment thesis on Suryoday Small Finance Bank (India: SURYODAY) at Asian Investing Summit 2025.

Thesis summary:

Suryoday Small Finance Bank is a niche private-sector lender with a significant presence in microfinance and bottom-of-the-pyramid banking. Over the last few years, the bank has been steadily transitioning from an unsecured microfinance-heavy portfolio to a more balanced and secured asset mix, with secured loans making up 47% of the book as of December 2024. While the microfinance industry in India faced a significant downturn through 2024 due to over-lending and regulatory tightening, Suryoday entered the crisis with a key cushion: nearly 95% of its unsecured loans are covered under the CGFMU guarantee scheme, which caps the bank’s credit loss exposure to a manageable level. Even in a worst-case scenario of 15% credit losses, Suryoday’s net burden is estimated at just ₹210 crore — equivalent to its FY24 net profit.

The bank recently traded at ₹100 per share, implying a market capitalization of $123 million and a deeply discounted valuation of 0.55x book. With a capital adequacy ratio of 26.9% — well above the regulatory minimum — and a resilient funding base built on retail term deposits, Suryoday has the balance sheet strength to weather sector volatility. While gross NPAs spiked to 5.5% in Q3FY25 due to delayed recognition, net NPAs adjusted for expected guarantee recoveries stood at just 0.1%, suggesting the credit drag may be more optical than structural. The bank’s revenue has grown steadily from $90 million in FY21 to $224 million for the trailing nine months of FY25, with improving profitability in recent quarters.

Looking forward, Suryoday is positioned to benefit from both a cyclical rebound in the microfinance space and its own strategic pivot toward secured lending. By March 2027, secured loans are expected to make up 60% of the total book, enabling a more stable earnings profile. If the microfinance sector follows a classic boom-bust-survivor cycle, Suryoday is well-placed to emerge as a consolidator, with increased market share and profitability. On conservative estimates of ₹200 book value and 1.5x P/B, the stock could triple from current levels over the next two years.

Key risks include the possibility of higher-than-expected credit losses in the microfinance portfolio, procedural delays or disputes in CGFMU guarantee payouts, and any signs of deterioration in the secured loan book. However, with its fortified balance sheet, significant regulatory support, and clear path to asset quality normalization, Suryoday represents a classic mispriced recovery play in Indian financials, offering long-term investors a rare combination of downside protection and asymmetric upside.

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About the instructor:

Amey Kulkarni operates a boutique investment advisory that partners with select individuals and family offices in their journey of wealth creation through investments in the Indian equity markets. Amey worked in the corporate sector for a decade with experience spanning across India, Europe and African markets. Amey has also worked closely with the top management of L&T (Chairman’s office) and the MD&CEO office at Jindal Steel & Power handling responsibilities of corporate strategy and business planning. Having gained unique insights into the internal workings of large diversified businesses from close quarters, Amey now applies the learnings to run an investment fund at Candor Investing. At Candor Investing, Amey invests in companies that don’t require external capital, have the ability to grow for a long time and are run by honest and hungry management. Being passionate about sharing the learnings and insights gained out of his investment experience, Amey occasionally takes up visiting faculty assignments at various Indian business schools. He is also a contributing author to the Moneylife Magazine which is renowned for pointing out corporate governance issues and championing investor awareness campaigns.

The content of this website is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment, or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information set forth on this website. BeyondProxy’s officers, directors, employees, and/or contributing authors may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated herein.

Repco Home Finance: Deep Value Opportunity in Affordable Housing

April 8, 2025 in Asia, Asian Investing Summit 2025, Asian Investing Summit 2025 Featured, Audio, Discover Great Ideas Podcast, Equities, Ideas, Member Podcasts

Rajeev Agrawal of DoorDarshi Advisors presented his in-depth investment thesis on Repco Home Finance (India: REPCOHOME) at Asian Investing Summit 2025.

Thesis summary:

Repco Home Finance is a small-cap housing finance company in India, focused primarily on self-employed and salaried customers in the under-penetrated affordable housing market. With a 230-branch network and a customer base concentrated in Tier 2 and Tier 3 cities, Repco offers loans through direct sales, loan camps, and distribution agents. Despite growing assets under management at only 5% CAGR over the past six years, the firm has delivered stronger PAT growth of 10.6% annually. A combination of prudent underwriting, improving asset quality, and a resilient customer base has enabled Repco to generate consistently high returns on equity — averaging 14% over the last decade and 13% through COVID-disrupted years.

The company recently traded at ₹335 per share, or approximately $244 million in market cap, representing just 4.9x trailing earnings and 0.7x book value. With a capital adequacy ratio of 32.5%, Tier 1 capital at 31.7%, and improving credit metrics, the balance sheet is robust. Non-performing assets have steadily declined, and loans disbursed post-COVID are showing stronger repayment behavior, leading to lower credit costs. Net interest margins and spreads have improved steadily, driving both income and profitability in recent quarters. While management transition remains a key overhang, incoming CEO T. Karunakaran — an internal veteran who served previously as CFO and COO — is expected to provide continuity and operational clarity, with strategic direction to emerge in coming quarters.

Repco’s performance still lags behind larger Indian housing finance peers in terms of scale and growth, but the valuation gap has widened disproportionately. Peers trade at median multiples of 2.1x book and 19x earnings despite delivering similar long-term ROEs and slightly stronger growth. If Repco’s return profile holds and loan book growth accelerates even modestly, a re-rating is plausible. Management has guided for 15–20% PAT growth, and even assuming a conservative 12% CAGR and a re-rating to 8x P/E, the stock could double over the next 2.25 years—implying a 40% annualized return.

The market’s skepticism stems from a legacy of underperformance, uncertain growth prospects, and past leadership that overpromised and underdelivered. However, recent improvements in asset quality, profitability, and capital efficiency suggest a turning point. As liquidity builds and management credibility is re-established, Repco is positioned as a classic deep value play. Investors with patience and a long-term horizon may find a compelling margin of safety at current levels.

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Thank you for your interest.  Please note that MOI Global is closed to new members at this time. If you would like to join the waiting list, complete the following form:

About the instructor:

Rajeev Agrawal is the Fund Manager and Managing Partner at DoorDarshi India Fund. DoorDarshi India Fund is a US-based fund that focuses on investing in Indian equities. Rajeev is also the founder of DoorDarshi Advisors, a General Partner to DoorDarshi India Fund. Rajeev has been investing in the US and Indian equity markets for 15+ years. Rajeev follows Value Investing principles and finds that the Indian equity market provides wonderful opportunities for his style of investing. Prior to starting DoorDarshi, Rajeev was a Technology executive focusing on the Financial Industry and has worked with IHS Markit, Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, JP Morgan and Dresdner Bank. Rajeev did his B.Tech from IIT Bombay and MBA from IIM Calcutta.

The content of this website is not an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy any security. The content is distributed for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice or a recommendation to sell or buy any security or other investment, or undertake any investment strategy. There are no warranties, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness, or results obtained from any information set forth on this website. BeyondProxy’s officers, directors, employees, and/or contributing authors may have positions in and may, from time to time, make purchases or sales of the securities or other investments discussed or evaluated herein.
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